Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen

Kortrijk host KV Mechelen in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Guldensporen Stadion. Kortrijk sit 17th in the table and KV Mechelen are 14th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Kortrijk have taken 1 win and 4 defeats (L L L W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games KV Mechelen have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L L D W). KV Mechelen are averaging 1.1 scored and 2.1 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Kortrijk, 7 for KV Mechelen and 1 draw, averaging 3.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.91 to 1.13.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Kortrijk vs KV Mechelen) at 85% based on expected goals of 0.91-1.13.