Atlas vs Club America
Atlasvs
Club AmericaHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Atlas host Club America in the Liga MX, kicking off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Jalisco. Atlas sit 3rd in the table and Club America are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Atlas have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (L D W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Club America have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (L D W D W). Club America are averaging 2.5 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Atlas, 5 for Club America and 3 draws, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 2.5 Goals (Over 2.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.51 to 2.75.
Statistical model favors Over 2.5 (Atlas vs Club America) at 80% based on expected goals of 1.51-2.75.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.593%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)85%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away81%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away81%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.580%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)77%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes74%
- Away Win · Away63%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.562%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.538%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw37%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No26%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)23%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.520%
- Home Win · Home19%
- Draw · Draw19%
- Correct Score · 1-28%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.57%
Last 10 meetings
- LClub America0 - 126/04/2026AtlasW
- LAtlas2 - 425/08/2025Club AmericaW
- LAtlas1 - 316/03/2025Club AmericaW
- WClub America3 - 018/09/2024AtlasL
- WClub America2 - 110/08/2024AtlasL
- LAtlas1 - 503/03/2024Club AmericaW
- DClub America1 - 121/08/2023AtlasD
- DAtlas2 - 226/02/2023Club AmericaD
- DClub America0 - 003/07/2022AtlasD
- LClub America0 - 223/01/2022AtlasW
Recent form
- W@Necaxa0-2
- DvGuadalajara Chivas1-1
- W@Club Tijuana2-3
- DvU.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
- DvAtlante FC1-1
- LvClub Queretaro1-3
- W@
Leon5 - 3 - Dv
Monterrey1 - 1 - L@
Guadalajara Chivas0 - 2 - Dv
Cruz Azul0 - 0 - W@
Necaxa4 - 2 - DvGuadalajara Chivas2 - 2
- L@Cruz Azul3 - 4
- L@Leon0 - 1
- Wv
Puebla2 - 0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlas | 1.58 | 1.5 | 3 |
| Club America | 2.45 | 1.27 | 1 |
Liga MX table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +13 | 24 |
| 2 |  Toluca | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +10 | 21 |
| 3 | Atlas | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 21 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 6 |  Club Queretaro | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 20 |
| 7 | Leon | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 | Monterrey | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Santos Laguna | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | +1 | 16 |
| 10 |  Club Tijuana | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 16 |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Puebla | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | -1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Tigres UANL | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 14 |  CF Pachuca | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 13 |
| 15 |  Atletico San Luis | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -6 | 11 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | -23 | 4 |
Other matches to check
- FC Juarez v Atlante FCLiga MX21 Oct 202602:00
- Atletico San Luis v Club QueretaroLiga MX21 Oct 202602:00
- Al-Ettifaq v Al-Ittihad FCPro League20 Oct 202619:00
- Al-Nassr v NEOMPro League20 Oct 202619:00
- Wolves v PortsmouthChampionship20 Oct 202619:45
- FC Porto v PSV EindhovenUEFA Champions League20 Oct 202620:00
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.