CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul

CF Pachuca host Cruz Azul in the Liga MX, kicking off on Thursday, 22 October 2026 at Estadio Hidalgo. CF Pachuca sit 14th in the table and Cruz Azul are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games CF Pachuca have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (W D L D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Cruz Azul have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W L D D W). Cruz Azul are averaging 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 5 wins for CF Pachuca, 4 for Cruz Azul and 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.70 to 2.02.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (CF Pachuca vs Cruz Azul) at 90% based on expected goals of 1.70-2.02.