Platense vs Lanus
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Platense host Lanus in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Ciudad de Vicente Lopez. Platense sit 12th in the table and Lanus are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Platense have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (W L D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Lanus have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D L W W W). Lanus are averaging 1.1 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 11 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.46 to 1.62.
Lanus projects 1.62 xG away while Platense musters only 0.46 at home. Platense's recent form (WLDLL) and defensive frailty make them heavy underdogs despite playing at home.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away91%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)88%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.584%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away74%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No69%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.566%
- Away Win · Away65%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.563%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)61%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.537%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw35%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.534%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes31%
- Draw · Draw26%
- Correct Score · 0-119%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.516%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)12%
- Home Win · Home9%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- DvArgentinos JRS1-1
- LvNewells Old Boys0-1
- L@Estudiantes L.P.2-1
- DvDeportivo Riestra1-1
- L@Defensa Y Justicia1-0
- WvEstudiantes L.P.2-1
- W@Deportivo Riestra0-3
- WvDefensa Y Justicia1-0
- L@Boca Juniors1-0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Platense | 0.73 | 1.15 | 12 |
| Lanus | 1.15 | 0.96 | 6 |
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 10 | +12 | 31 | |
| 1 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 6 | +14 | 34 | |
| 2 | 16 | 16 | 3 | 11 | +10 | 29 | |
| 2 | 16 | 12 | 11 | 4 | +13 | 30 | |
| 3 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 6 | +4 | 29 | |
| 3 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 3 | +6 | 28 | |
| 4 | 13 | 14 | 4 | 10 | +1 | 22 | |
| 4 | 16 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +4 | 28 | |
| 4 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 8 | +4 | 24 | |
| 5 | 16 | 15 | 9 | 6 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 12 | 11 | 2 | 13 | +3 | 20 | |
| 6 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 24 | |
| 6 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 19 | |
| 7 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 22 | |
| 8 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 11 | +4 | 21 | |
| 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 12 | +2 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 21 | |
| 10 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 7 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 10 | -8 | 19 | |
| 12 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 13 | -2 | 18 | |
| 12 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 11 | -5 | 16 | |
| 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 11 | -5 | 14 | |
| 14 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 | -6 | 10 | |
| 14 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -13 | 8 | |
| 14 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 9 | -12 | 15 | |
| 15 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 19 | -19 | 5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 3 | 12 | 11 | -7 | 11 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.