Defensa Y Justicia vs Instituto Cordoba

Defensa Y Justicia host Instituto Cordoba in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Estadio Norberto Tomaghello. Defensa Y Justicia sit 10th in the table and Instituto Cordoba are 9th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Defensa Y Justicia have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W L W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Instituto Cordoba have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D W L W W). Instituto Cordoba are averaging 1.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game, keeping 9 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.29 to 0.68.

Defensa y Justicia's strong defensive record (7 clean sheets, 1.23 goals against avg) faces Instituto Cordoba's weak away form (0.38 goals for avg). Expect a low-scoring affair with minimal goalmouth action.