Eintracht Frankfurt vs 1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurtvs
1. FC KölnHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Eintracht Frankfurt host 1. FC Köln in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Deutsche Bank Park. Eintracht Frankfurt sit 14th in the table and 1. FC Köln are 10th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games Eintracht Frankfurt have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D L W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 4 league games 1. FC Köln have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L D L). 1. FC Köln are averaging 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.74 to 1.71.
Frankfurt and Köln present an open, attacking encounter. Both teams have failed to keep clean sheets in recent fixtures and generate substantial xG (1.74 + 1.71). Over 1.5 is a reliable pick.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.587%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)79%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes69%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.567%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw63%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away62%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.555%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)51%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)49%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.545%
- Home Win · Home38%
- Away Win · Away37%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.533%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No31%
- Draw · Draw25%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.513%
- Correct Score · 1-111%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- DvSC Freiburg2-2
- W@FSV Mainz 051-3
- LvFC Augsburg1-4
- D@Union Berlin3-3
- WvBorussia Mönchengladbach2-1
- L@Hamburger SV2-1
- DvWerder Bremen1-1
- L@VfB Stuttgart4-1
- Wv1899 Hoffenheim3-2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eintracht Frankfurt | 2.25 | 2.5 | 14 |
| 1. FC Köln | 1.5 | 2.25 | 10 |
Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  SC Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 13 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |  Bayern München | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 11 |
| 4 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 10 |
| 5 |  RB Leipzig | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +10 | 9 |
| 6 |  FC Augsburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 8 |
| 7 |  Werder Bremen | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
| 8 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  SV Elversberg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Köln | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |  VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 12 |  Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -10 | 6 |
| 13 |  FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -7 | 5 |
| 15 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -12 | 4 |
| 17 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4 | 3 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -11 | 0 |
Other matches to check
- Guingamp v PAULigue 216 Oct 202619:00
- Laval v Clermont FootLigue 216 Oct 202619:00
- Annecy v NancyLigue 216 Oct 202619:00
- Heerenveen v ExcelsiorEredivisie16 Oct 202619:00
- Al-Ittihad FC v Al ShababPro League16 Oct 202619:00
- Leganes v CordobaSegunda División16 Oct 202619:30
See the full board on the homepage or browse Bundesliga.
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.