Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante
Deportivo La Corunavs
LevanteHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Deportivo La Coruna host Levante in the La Liga, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Estadio Municipal de Riazor. Deportivo La Coruna sit 8th in the table and Levante are 17th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Deportivo La Coruna have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W W D L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Levante have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D W D L L). Levante are averaging 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.24 to 0.60.
Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Deportivo La Coruna vs Levante) at 88% based on expected goals of 1.24-0.60.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.588%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw83%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)75%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.572%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away67%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No66%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.557%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)56%
- Home Win · Home50%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away50%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.543%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes34%
- Draw · Draw33%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.528%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)25%
- Correct Score · 1-018%
- Away Win · Away17%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.512%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Real Sociedad3-2
- DvReal Betis1-1
- LvSevilla0-1
- D@Getafe1-1
- W@Villarreal2-3
- WvValencia3-1
- DvSevilla3-3
- L@Villarreal3-1
- LvBarcelona2-4
- D@Malaga0-0
- WvReal Betis5-2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 1.43 | 1.14 | 8 |
| Levante | 1.33 | 2 | 17 |
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +27 | 24 |
| 2 |  Atletico Madrid | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 19 |
| 3 |  Real Betis | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Madrid | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 18 |
| 5 |  Sevilla | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Alaves | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 |
| 8 | Deportivo La Coruna | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 9 |  Celta Vigo | 8 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 10 |  Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Villarreal | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 12 |  Espanyol | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 |  Rayo Vallecano | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Getafe | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 8 |
| 15 |  Racing Santander | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -10 | 8 |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -10 | 8 |
| 17 | Levante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 18 |  Elche | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 19 |  Valencia | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 5 |
| 20 |  Malaga | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 4 |
Other matches to check
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.