Operario-PR vs Athletic Club

Operario-PR host Athletic Club in the Serie B, kicking off on Friday, 23 October 2026 at Estadio Germano Kruger. Operario-PR sit 10th in the table and Athletic Club are 14th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Operario-PR have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (D W W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 11 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Athletic Club have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W L W D). Athletic Club are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.1 conceded per game, keeping 8 clean sheets so far.

Their last 3 meetings have produced 1 win for Operario-PR, 2 for Athletic Club and 0 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 78% at odds of 1.28. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.16 to 1.23.

Operario-PR and Athletic Club have similar attacking output (xG 1.16 and 1.23) with modest overall scoring patterns. Both teams' clean sheet tallies and defensive averages (1.24 and 1.07 goals against) strongly support a low-scoring match, making Under 3.5 a solid pick.