Orgryte IS vs Gais

Orgryte IS host Gais in the Allsvenskan, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Gamla Ullevi. Orgryte IS sit 15th in the table and Gais are 10th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Orgryte IS have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (D L D L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Gais have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W D L W). Gais are averaging 1.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game, keeping 10 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 79% at odds of 1.27. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.30 to 1.54.

Orgryte's defensive weakness (2.23 goals against per game, only 3 clean sheets) meets Gais' attacking capability (1.27 goals for, 10 clean sheets). Over 1.5 is well-supported by underlying metrics.