Malmo FF vs BK Hacken

Malmo FF host BK Hacken in the Allsvenskan, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Eleda Stadion. Malmo FF sit 6th in the table and BK Hacken are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Malmo FF have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W D W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games BK Hacken have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W L D D W). BK Hacken are averaging 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 8 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 78% at odds of 1.28. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.08 to 1.71.

Malmo's defensive issues (only 7 clean sheets in Allsvenskan, conceding 1.5 per game) paired with Hacken's attack (1.77 goals per game) create an open match. The 78% probability reflects realistic likelihood of exceeding 1.5 goals.