Tromso vs KFUM Oslo

Tromso host KFUM Oslo in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Alfheim. Tromso sit 3rd in the table and KFUM Oslo are 10th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Tromso have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L D L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 9 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games KFUM Oslo have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (D L L W W). KFUM Oslo are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.44 to 0.53.

Tromso enjoy a significant home advantage with high probability of avoiding defeat. KFUM Oslo's expected goals of just 0.53 combined with their league position (10th) makes away victory very unlikely. The draw or home win outcome dominates.