Club Tijuana vs Puebla

Club Tijuana host Puebla in the Liga MX, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Caliente. Club Tijuana sit 8th in the table and Puebla are 9th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Club Tijuana have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Puebla have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L W L D). Puebla are averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 90% at odds of 1.11. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.56 to 0.49.

Tijuana at home is significantly stronger than Puebla away. Home win at 63% probability combined with 27% draw gives strong 1X case.