Girona vs FC Andorra

Girona host FC Andorra in the Segunda División, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Estadi Montilivi. Girona sit 7th in the table and FC Andorra are 17th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Girona have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (L W W L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games FC Andorra have taken 5 defeats (L L L L L). FC Andorra are averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 81% at odds of 1.23. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.45 to 1.52.

Girona attack frequently (2.0 goals per game) and Andorra have conceded in every match this season (0 clean sheets), creating a high-probability fixture for goals. Both teams' expected goals are marginally higher than Girona's output, suggesting the Andorra defence is the primary vulnerability.