Leganes vs Cordoba
Leganesvs
CordobaHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Leganes host Cordoba in the Segunda División, kicking off on Friday, 16 October 2026 at Municipal de Butarque. Leganes sit 16th in the table and Cordoba are 18th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games Leganes have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W D L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Cordoba have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (W L L L W). Cordoba are averaging 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.85 to 1.68.
Leganes have strong recent form with 3 wins in last 5 matches and solid home xG. Cordoba's weak defence (2.17 conceded per game) and high away xG (1.68) suggest an open, goal-heavy fixture. Over 1.5 is well-supported.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.588%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)80%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away76%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes70%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.568%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw66%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away59%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)55%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.553%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.547%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)45%
- Home Win · Home41%
- Away Win · Away34%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.532%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No30%
- Draw · Draw24%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.512%
- Correct Score · 1-110%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Almeria3-0
- WvGranada CF3-2
- L@Tenerife2-0
- D@Las Palmas0-0
- WvEldense1-0
- W@Albacete1-2
- LvAlmeria0-2
- L@Sabadell3-2
- LvGranada CF1-3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leganes | 1 | 0.83 | 16 |
| Cordoba | 1.5 | 2.17 | 18 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Almeria | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Valladolid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Celta de Vigo II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Eldense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 | Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 |  Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.