Odense vs Brondby
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Odense host Brondby in the Superliga, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Odense Stadium. Odense sit 9th in the table and Brondby are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Odense have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D D L W D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Brondby have taken 1 win and 4 defeats (W L L L L). Brondby are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 76% at odds of 1.32. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.33 to 1.17.
Odense (0.89 goals/game, 9th place) and Brondby (1.33 goals/game) combine for expected goals of 2.5, supporting the Under 3.5 lean. Odense's home form is poor (0.33 goals/game at home), and despite Brondby's recent 5-2 win, the away fixture presents a different challenge. The model's 76% confidence is robust.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.576%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.573%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away70%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw69%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)68%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away61%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)55%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.554%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes53%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No47%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.546%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)45%
- Home Win · Home39%
- Away Win · Away31%
- Draw · Draw30%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.527%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.524%
- Correct Score · 1-114%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- DvFC Midtjylland1-1
- W@Randers FC1-2
- LvFC Copenhagen0-5
- D@Lyngby1-1
- WvLyngby5-2
- LvFC Copenhagen0-1
- L@FC Midtjylland4-1
- LvRanders FC0-3
- L@FC Nordsjaelland3-1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odense | 0.89 | 1.56 | 9 |
| Brondby | 1.33 | 1.67 | 5 |
Superliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 24 | |
| 2 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 22 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 16 | |
| 6 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -1 | 12 | |
| 7 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
| 8 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 10 | |
| 9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | 10 | |
| 10 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 8 | |
| 11 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -9 | 7 | |
| 12 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -12 | 5 |
Other matches to check
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.