PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles

PEC Zwolle host GO Ahead Eagles in the Eredivisie, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at MAC³PARK Stadion. PEC Zwolle sit 16th in the table and GO Ahead Eagles are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games PEC Zwolle have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L D L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games GO Ahead Eagles have taken 4 draws and 1 defeat (L D D D D). GO Ahead Eagles are averaging 2.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.94 to 1.38.

PEC Zwolle is struggling defensively (2.86 goals against avg) but GO Ahead Eagles' long rest period and moderate combined xG suggest a lower-scoring match is plausible. The 80% Under 3.5 reflects the data appropriately.