Paris FC vs Rennes

Paris FC host Rennes in the Ligue 1, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Stade Jean Bouin. Paris FC sit 5th in the table and Rennes are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Paris FC have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (D W W D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Rennes have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D W W W L). Rennes are averaging 1.6 scored and 1.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.26 to 1.03.

Paris FC are dominant at home (64% win, 85% DC1X) but their injury sheet is extensive, affecting defensive organisation. Rennes arrive with only 3 rest days after a European match but showed dangerous form (two recent 4-goal victories). The confluence of Paris injuries and Rennes' offensive momentum justifies slight caution on the home dominance thesis.