Dynamo Dresden vs 1. FC Magdeburg
Dynamo Dresdenvs
1. FC MagdeburgHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Dynamo Dresden host 1. FC Magdeburg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. Dynamo Dresden sit 16th in the table and 1. FC Magdeburg are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Dynamo Dresden have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L D L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games 1. FC Magdeburg have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W L W D W). 1. FC Magdeburg are averaging 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.68 to 1.23.
Dresden's poor home form (1.33 GA average, 5 conceded in last 4) pairs with Magdeburg's 1.83 GA average. Both teams create opportunities regularly despite recent struggles.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.580%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw73%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away73%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)73%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.567%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)63%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes59%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.556%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away54%
- Home Win · Home46%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.544%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No41%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)37%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.533%
- Away Win · Away27%
- Draw · Draw27%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.520%
- Correct Score · 1-113%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- LvHertha BSC1-2
- D@Eintracht Braunschweig2-2
- LvVfL Bochum1-2
- L@1. FC Heidenheim5-3
- D@SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-1
- Wv1. FC Kaiserslautern3-0
- L@Hertha BSC2-1
- WvHolstein Kiel2-0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamo Dresden | 1.29 | 2.14 | 16 |
| 1. FC Magdeburg | 2 | 1.29 | 4 |
2. Bundesliga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +10 | 17 |
| 3 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 5 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 6 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +2 | 12 |
| 7 |  FC St. Pauli | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |  Energie Cottbus | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 9 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 11 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  VfL Bochum | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Hannover 96 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 14 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Karlsruher SC | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 18 |  Holstein Kiel | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 4 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.