Serie A17:00

Bologna vs Inter

Bolognavs

Inter

Our pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5

84%

Odds 1.19

Match odds

Home / Draw / Away

Bologna

5.56

18%

Draw

4.35

23%

Inter

1.69

59%

Why this pick

Match analysis

Bologna host Inter in the Serie A, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Bologna sit 14th in the table and Inter are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Bologna have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L D L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Inter have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (W W W W D). Inter are averaging 3.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 84% at odds of 1.19. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.10 to 2.10.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Bologna vs Inter) at 84% based on expected goals of 1.10-2.10.

One grid, every market

Market probabilities

Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.584%
Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away82%
Double Chance 12 · Home or Away77%
Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)77%
Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)76%
Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.562%
Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.560%
Both Teams to Score · Yes60%
Away Win · Away59%
Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw41%
Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.540%
Both Teams to Score - No · No40%
Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.538%
Draw · Draw23%
Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)23%
Home Win · Home18%
Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.516%
Correct Score · 1-111%

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

No recent head-to-head meetings on record.

Last 10 matches

Recent form

Bologna · last 5

W@Lecce1-2
DvTorino1-1
L@Napoli1-0
DvSassuolo2-2
L@Atalanta1-0

Inter · last 6

LvClub Brugge KV3-4
D@AS Roma2-2
WvUdinese5-3
L@Real Madrid2-1
WvNapoli3-2
W@Cagliari0-1

Per match

Goals for & against

Team	For	Against	Pos.
Bologna	0.6	1.2	14
Inter	3	1.6	1

Standings

Serie A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Inter	6	4	1	0	+10	16
2	Lazio	6	4	1	0	+7	16
3	AS Roma	6	4	1	0	+11	14
4	Cagliari	6	4	0	1	+3	13
5	AC Milan	6	3	2	0	+6	12
6	Juventus	6	3	1	1	+4	11
7	Como	6	3	1	1	+3	11
8	Napoli	6	2	1	2	+4	10
9	Frosinone	6	3	1	1	+2	10
10	Atalanta	6	2	0	3	0	9
11	Sassuolo	6	2	1	2	0	8
12	Torino	6	1	1	3	-2	7
13	Lecce	6	2	0	3	-6	6
14	Bologna	6	0	2	3	-2	5
15	Udinese	6	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Monza	6	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Genoa	6	0	1	4	-6	4
18	Parma	6	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Fiorentina	6	1	1	3	-7	4
20	Venezia	6	0	0	5	-11	0