Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets

Central Coast Mariners host Newcastle Jets in the A-League, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026. Central Coast Mariners sit 4th in the table and Newcastle Jets are 5th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Central Coast Mariners arrive without a tracked recent run to lean on. At home and away combined they are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Newcastle Jets arrive without a tracked recent run to lean on. Newcastle Jets are averaging 0.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 83% at odds of 1.2. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.45 to 1.69.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Central Coast Mariners vs Newcastle Jets) at 83% based on expected goals of 1.45-1.69.