Macarthur vs Perth Glory

Macarthur host Perth Glory in the A-League, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Campbelltown Stadium. Macarthur sit 11th in the table and Perth Glory are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Macarthur arrive without a tracked recent run to lean on. At home and away combined they are averaging 0.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Perth Glory arrive without a tracked recent run to lean on. Perth Glory are averaging 0.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 91% at odds of 1.1. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.59 to 1.28.

Macarthur's explosive xG of 2.59 at home against Perth's limited xG (1.28) creates a high-scoring environment. Over 1.5 at 91% is well-supported.