Hibernian vs Falkirk

Hibernian host Falkirk in the Premiership, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Easter Road. Hibernian sit 10th in the table and Falkirk are 11th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Hibernian have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (W L L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Falkirk have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (L L D W D). Falkirk are averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 78% at odds of 1.28. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.48 to 0.92.

Hibernian at home with 28 days rest should dominate a struggling Falkirk side. Both teams concede regularly, but Hibs' 0.43 home goals-for average is concerning; however, the Double Chance avoids backing their attacking prowess.