NEOM vs Al-Ettifaq
NEOMvs
Al-EttifaqHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
NEOM host Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at King Khalid Sport City Stadium. NEOM sit 5th in the table and Al-Ettifaq are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games NEOM have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (L L W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Al-Ettifaq have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (L L W D D). Al-Ettifaq are averaging 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.94 to 1.42.
NEOM's strong home form (4-2, 3-0 recent wins) and Al-Ettifaq's defensive frailties (1.57 goals against average) support a high-scoring match. Expected goals of 1.94 vs 1.42 points to multiple goals.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.586%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)78%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw73%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes66%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.565%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)64%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.557%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away52%
- Home Win · Home48%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.543%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)36%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.535%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No34%
- Away Win · Away27%
- Draw · Draw25%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.514%
- Correct Score · 1-111%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- WvAl-Fateh4-2
- W@Al-Hilal Saudi FC0-2
- WvAl Khaleej Saihat3-0
- L@Al Riyadh1-0
- D@Al-Qadisiyah FC3-3
- DvAl-Faisaly FC0-0
- W@Abha0-1
- LvAl Diriyah0-3
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| NEOM | 1.86 | 0.86 | 5 |
| Al-Ettifaq | 1.57 | 1.57 | 7 |
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | NEOM | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 |  Al Kholood | 9 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 10 |  Al-Hazm | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 11 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 9 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8 | 9 |
| 13 |  Al Shabab | 8 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 9 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -10 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -12 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
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See the full board on the homepage or browse Pro League.
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.