Kifisia vs Aris Thessalonikis
Kifisiavs
Aris ThessalonikisHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Kifisia host Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1, kicking off on Sunday, 18 October 2026 at Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium. Kifisia sit 9th in the table and Aris Thessalonikis are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Kifisia have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L L D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Aris Thessalonikis have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W W L L D). Aris Thessalonikis are averaging 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.19 to 0.85.
Both Kifisia and Aris struggle to score (0.8 and 1.0 per game respectively). Aris concedes only 2.0 per game, and Kifisia's limited away threat (0.6 per away game) reduces variance. Under 3.5 is solid.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.585%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw75%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away67%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.567%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)63%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.562%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)60%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away58%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No58%
- Home Win · Home42%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes42%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.538%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)37%
- Draw · Draw33%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.533%
- Away Win · Away25%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.515%
- Correct Score · 1-115%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- W@Atromitos1-2
- DvLevadiakos0-0
- L@Panathinaikos3-1
- L@OFI2-0
- DvAEK Athens FC1-1
- DvIraklis 19080-0
- L@PAOK2-0
- L@AEK Athens FC5-0
- WvOFI2-1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kifisia | 0.8 | 1.4 | 9 |
| Aris Thessalonikis | 1 | 2 | 5 |
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 15 |
| 2 |  AEK Athens FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +13 | 14 |
| 3 |  Olympiakos Piraeus | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 4 |  PAOK | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 5 | Aris Thessalonikis | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 6 |  OFI | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 10 |
| 7 |  Iraklis 1908 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Panetolikos | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 9 |
| 9 | Kifisia | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Kalamata | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Asteras Tripolis | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 12 |  Atromitos | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 13 |  Levadiakos | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -11 | 1 |
| 14 |  Volos NFC | 6 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 0 |
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Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.