Sporting Gijon vs Albacete

Sporting Gijon host Albacete in the Segunda División, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at El Molinón-Enrique Castro Quini. Sporting Gijon sit 6th in the table and Albacete are 22nd, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Sporting Gijon have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (W W L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Albacete have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L L L D L). Albacete are averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.53 to 0.60.

Sporting's home advantage and superior position make draw or win highly probable. Albacete's dire away form (0.33 goals) and position in lower half confirm low upset risk.