Real Sociedad II vs Almeria
Real Sociedad IIvs
AlmeriaHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Real Sociedad II host Almeria in the Segunda División, kicking off on Saturday, 17 October 2026 at Estadio Ciudad Deportiva Zubieta. Real Sociedad II sit 19th in the table and Almeria are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Real Sociedad II have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (W D D W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Almeria have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (L L W W W). Almeria are averaging 1.7 scored and 0.7 conceded per game, keeping 3 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.73 to 1.17.
Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Real Sociedad II vs Almeria) at 88% based on expected goals of 0.73-1.17.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.588%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away79%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.570%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)68%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away66%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No63%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.558%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)57%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw55%
- Away Win · Away45%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.542%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes37%
- Draw · Draw34%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)32%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.530%
- Home Win · Home21%
- Correct Score · 0-017%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.512%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- L@Celta de Vigo II4-1
- LvMallorca0-1
- W@FC Andorra1-3
- DvTenerife1-1
- D@Burgos2-2
- WvLeganes3-0
- WvCelta de Vigo II2-0
- W@Cordoba0-2
- WvCadiz3-2
- L@Sabadell1-0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Sociedad II | 1.33 | 1.17 | 19 |
| Almeria | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1 |
Segunda División table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Almeria | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | +11 | 21 |
| 2 |  Eibar | 9 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |  Castellón | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | +11 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mallorca | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Sabadell | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijon | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 16 |
| 7 |  Girona | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 15 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |  Granada CF | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 |
| 11 |  Valladolid | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 12 |
| 12 |  Tenerife | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 12 |
| 13 |  Celta de Vigo II | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 14 |  Eldense | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Las Palmas | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 |  Leganes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | -8 | 11 |
| 17 |  FC Andorra | 9 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 18 |  Cordoba | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 19 | Real Sociedad II | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -5 | 8 |
| 20 |  Cadiz | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 21 |  AD Ceuta FC | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 5 |
| 22 |  Albacete | 9 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -15 | 1 |
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See the full board on the homepage or browse Segunda División.
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.