Atletico San Luis vs Club Queretaro

Atletico San Luis host Club Queretaro in the Liga MX, kicking off on Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Atletico San Luis sit 15th in the table and Club Queretaro are 6th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Atletico San Luis have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (L L W W L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Club Queretaro have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (W W D W W). Club Queretaro are averaging 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Atletico San Luis, 4 for Club Queretaro and 2 draws, averaging 3.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 76% at odds of 1.32. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.59 to 1.07.

San Luis hold a modest home advantage with balanced goal expectations. Querétaro are in better form overall (6th place) but their 5-0 away win to Santos suggests high variance. The double chance at 76% appropriately captures home/draw outcomes in a competitive fixture.