Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş

Trabzonspor host Beşiktaş in the Süper Lig, kicking off on Monday, 19 October 2026 at Papara Park. Trabzonspor sit 5th in the table and Beşiktaş are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Trabzonspor have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (L W L W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Beşiktaş have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W L W). Beşiktaş are averaging 2.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Trabzonspor, 3 for Beşiktaş and 5 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Draw (Draw) as the pick, rated 24% at odds of 4.17. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.01 to 1.57.

Statistical model favors Draw (Trabzonspor vs Beşiktaş) at 24% based on expected goals of 2.01-1.57.