FC Sion vs FC Thun
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
FC Sion host FC Thun in the Super League, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Stade de Tourbillon. FC Sion sit 4th in the table and FC Thun are 7th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.
Over their last 5 league games FC Sion have taken 3 wins and 2 defeats (L W W L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 5 league games FC Thun have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (W L L W D). FC Thun are averaging 1.8 scored and 2.8 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for FC Sion, 8 for FC Thun and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.85 to 1.03.
Sion's home advantage and xG edge (1.85) support the 80% probability for Home or Draw. Thun's away record shows defensive vulnerabilities (2.8 goals conceded per game), making a Sion result or stalemate likely.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw80%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.580%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away75%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)74%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)73%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.567%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes56%
- Home Win · Home55%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.555%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away45%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.545%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No44%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.533%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)26%
- Draw · Draw25%
- Away Win · Away20%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.520%
- Correct Score · 1-112%
Last 10 meetings
- WFC Sion
2 - 010/05/2026
FC ThunL - WFC Thun
1 - 015/02/2026
FC SionL - WFC Thun
2 - 101/11/2025
FC SionL - LFC Sion
0 - 125/10/2025
FC ThunW - WFC Thun
1 - 022/04/2024
FC SionL - LFC Sion
1 - 215/03/2024
FC ThunW - DFC Thun
1 - 108/12/2023
FC SionD - LFC Sion
2 - 325/09/2023
FC ThunW - WFC Thun
2 - 130/12/2022
FC SionL - LFC Sion
2 - 330/05/2021
FC ThunW
Recent form
- W@
FC Basel 18932 - 1 - Lv
FC Lugano1 - 2 - L@
Ajax3 - 5 - Lv
Ajax2 - 4 - W@
Kerzers6 - 1 - Wv
FC Noah2 - 1 - Wv
FC Vaduz3 - 2 - D@
FC Noah2 - 2 - Wv
FC Luzern3 - 0 - Wv
Bate Borisov4 - 0
- Dv
Lausanne0 - 0 - W@
FC ST. Gallen4 - 3 - Dv
Lech Poznan2 - 2 - L@
Lech Poznan0 - 7 - W@
Saxon Sports6 - 0 - L@
Vikingur Reykjavik2 - 3 - L@
FC Basel 18932 - 4 - Wv
Vikingur Reykjavik3 - 0 - Lv
BSC Young Boys0 - 6
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Sion | 2.2 | 1.8 | 4 |
| FC Thun | 1.8 | 2.8 | 7 |
Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +12 | 14 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 9 | |
| 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 7 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -5 | 7 | |
| 8 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 6 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 6 | |
| 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 4 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -3 | 3 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.