Anderlecht vs Genk

Anderlecht host Genk in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Lotto Park. Anderlecht sit 10th in the table and Genk are 7th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Anderlecht have taken 2 wins and 2 defeats (W L L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Genk have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (L W D W). Genk are averaging 3.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 2 wins for Anderlecht, 6 for Genk and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.73 to 1.96.

Both teams show attacking intent; Genk's strong form and Anderlecht's recent wins suggest goals will flow. Over 1.5 is highly probable.