Espanyol vs Sevilla

Espanyol host Sevilla in the La Liga, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at RCDE Stadium. Espanyol sit 12th in the table and Sevilla are 7th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 3 league games Espanyol have taken 1 win and 2 defeats (W L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 3 league games Sevilla have taken 2 wins and 1 defeat (W W L). Sevilla are averaging 2.0 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Espanyol, 6 for Sevilla and 3 draws, averaging 3.0 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 84% at odds of 1.19. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.10 to 0.97.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Espanyol vs Sevilla) at 84% based on expected goals of 1.10-0.97.