Seattle Sounders vs New York Red Bulls

Seattle Sounders host New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Lumen Field. Seattle Sounders sit 12th in the table and New York Red Bulls are 8th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Seattle Sounders have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L L D D). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 5 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games New York Red Bulls have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (W L L D L). New York Red Bulls are averaging 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 4 wins for Seattle Sounders, 3 for New York Red Bulls and 2 draws, averaging 3.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.24 to 0.94.

Seattle's home advantage and superior xG (2.24 vs 0.94) support home or draw at 87%. Despite two recent draws, the expected-goals gap and NYRB's weak away form (1 clean sheet in 6) justify the selection.