Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Rosario Central host Newells Old Boys in the Liga Profesional Argentina, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Estadio Gigante de Arroyito. Rosario Central sit 7th in the table and Newells Old Boys are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Rosario Central have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W W D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Newells Old Boys have taken 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D L W W D). Newells Old Boys are averaging 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded per game, keeping 5 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 7 wins for Rosario Central, 1 for Newells Old Boys and 2 draws, averaging 1.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Correct Score (0-0) as the pick, rated 22% at odds of 4.55. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.06 to 0.55.
Statistical model favors 0-0 (Rosario Central vs Newells Old Boys) at 22% based on expected goals of 1.06-0.55.
Market probabilities
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.592%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw83%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.578%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)73%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No71%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away64%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away54%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)52%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.551%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.549%
- Home Win · Home46%
- Draw · Draw36%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes29%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)27%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.522%
- Correct Score · 0-022%
- Away Win · Away17%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.58%
Last 10 meetings
- LNewells Old Boys
0 - 201/03/2026
Rosario CentralW - WRosario Central
1 - 023/08/2025
Newells Old BoysL - LNewells Old Boys
1 - 216/02/2025
Rosario CentralW - WRosario Central
1 - 010/08/2024
Newells Old BoysL - LNewells Old Boys
0 - 125/02/2024
Rosario CentralW - WRosario Central
1 - 030/09/2023
Newells Old BoysL - DNewells Old Boys
0 - 009/04/2023
Rosario CentralD - WRosario Central
1 - 021/07/2022
Newells Old BoysL - LRosario Central
0 - 120/03/2022
Newells Old BoysW - DNewells Old Boys
1 - 122/08/2021
Rosario CentralD
Recent form
- Lv
Gimnasia L.P.1 - 2 - D@
Talleres Cordoba2 - 2 - L@
Corinthians0 - 1 - W@
Barracas Central1 - 0 - Dv
Corinthians0 - 0 - Wv
Aldosivi2 - 1 - W@
River Plate1 - 0 - Dv
Racing Club0 - 0 - L@
Belgrano Cordoba1 - 2 - L@
Estudiantes L.P.0 - 3
- D@
Estudiantes L.P.0 - 0 - Wv
Banfield2 - 1 - Wv
Deportivo Riestra2 - 0 - L@
Defensa Y Justicia1 - 2 - Dv
Boca Juniors2 - 2 - L@
Independiente0 - 1 - Wv
Talleres Cordoba1 - 0 - D@
Velez Sarsfield1 - 1 - Dv
Instituto Cordoba1 - 1 - W@
Union Santa Fe3 - 2
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rosario Central | 1.27 | 1 | 7 |
| Newells Old Boys | 1 | 1.43 | 5 |
Liga Profesional Argentina table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 15 | 6 | 5 | +5 | 16 | |
| 3 | 16 | 10 | 11 | 3 | +6 | 28 | |
| 5 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 6 | +4 | 26 | |
| 5 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 9 | +2 | 11 | |
| 6 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 9 | +2 | 10 | |
| 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 11 | |
| 6 | 16 | 13 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 26 | |
| 7 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 22 | |
| 7 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 7 | +1 | 11 | |
| 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 10 | |
| 7 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 7 | +4 | 22 | |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 9 | +2 | 10 | |
| 8 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 4 | -1 | 10 | |
| 9 | 16 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 21 | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -4 | 8 | |
| 10 | 16 | 8 | 9 | 6 | -3 | 19 | |
| 10 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 5 | +3 | 20 | |
| 11 | 16 | 10 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 19 | |
| 11 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 12 | -7 | 19 | |
| 11 | 7 | 14 | 3 | 10 | -1 | 7 | |
| 11 | 7 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 12 | -3 | 7 | |
| 12 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 12 | -10 | 16 | |
| 14 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | -5 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -4 | 5 | |
| 15 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 16 | -19 | 5 | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -6 | 2 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.