Kristiansund BK vs Tromso
Home / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Kristiansund BK host Tromso in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Kristiansund Stadion. Kristiansund BK sit 15th in the table and Tromso are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Kristiansund BK have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats (L L W L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Tromso have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W W L D). Tromso are averaging 1.9 scored and 1.1 conceded per game, keeping 9 clean sheets so far.
Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for Kristiansund BK, 4 for Tromso and 3 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.91 to 2.02.
Tromso hold a decisive xG advantage (2.02 v 0.91) and rank third with strong recent form. Kristiansund are 14th with multiple injuries. The 85% for Draw or Away is well-calibrated to the underlying data.
Market probabilities
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away85%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)81%
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.580%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away77%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)73%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.566%
- Away Win · Away62%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.556%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes53%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No47%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.544%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw38%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.534%
- Draw · Draw23%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.520%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)19%
- Home Win · Home15%
- Correct Score · 1-111%
Last 10 meetings
- WTromso
2 - 011/04/2026
Kristiansund BKL - LKristiansund BK
1 - 330/11/2025
TromsoW - WTromso
2 - 124/09/2025
Kristiansund BKL - LTromso
2 - 320/04/2025
Kristiansund BKW - DTromso
0 - 028/07/2024
Kristiansund BKD - WKristiansund BK
1 - 021/04/2024
TromsoL - WKristiansund BK
3 - 002/03/2024
TromsoL - WTromso
2 - 114/08/2022
Kristiansund BKL - DKristiansund BK
1 - 103/08/2022
TromsoD - DKristiansund BK
0 - 026/03/2022
TromsoD
Recent form
- D@
Ham-Kam2 - 2 - W@
Trønder-Lyn5 - 0 - L@
Fredrikstad0 - 1 - Wv
Molde2 - 1 - L@
KFUM Oslo1 - 2 - Lv
Start1 - 2 - Dv
Sarpsborg 08 FF0 - 0 - L@
Rosenborg0 - 3 - W@
Brann2 - 1 - Lv
Aalesund0 - 3
- Dv
Sarpsborg 08 FF0 - 0 - L@
Brighton0 - 4 - W@
Ulfstind5 - 0 - Dv
Brighton0 - 0 - L@
Molde2 - 3 - Wv
CFR 1907 Cluj2 - 1 - W@
CFR 1907 Cluj5 - 0 - W@
Aalesund6 - 2 - L@
Hradec Králové1 - 3 - Lv
Hradec Králové0 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kristiansund BK | 0.94 | 1.61 | 15 |
| Tromso | 1.89 | 1.11 | 3 |
Eliteserien table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 14 | 2 | 2 | +34 | 47 | |
| 2 | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | +24 | 43 | |
| 3 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | +14 | 35 | |
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | +7 | 30 | |
| 5 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | +9 | 26 | |
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | -1 | 26 | |
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 8 | -7 | 26 | |
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | +1 | 24 | |
| 9 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 23 | |
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -6 | 23 | |
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 21 | |
| 12 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -8 | 19 | |
| 13 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -11 | 19 | |
| 14 | 19 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -13 | 18 | |
| 15 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -12 | 16 | |
| 16 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -21 | 13 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.