Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas

Atletico San Luis host Guadalajara Chivas in the Liga MX, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Estadio Libertad Financiera. Atletico San Luis sit 13th in the table and Guadalajara Chivas are 5th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Atletico San Luis have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D D L D W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Guadalajara Chivas have taken 3 wins and 2 draws (W D W W D). Guadalajara Chivas are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Atletico San Luis, 4 for Guadalajara Chivas and 2 draws, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 79% at odds of 1.27. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.62 to 1.20.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Atletico San Luis vs Guadalajara Chivas) at 79% based on expected goals of 1.62-1.20.