Club Queretaro vs Monterrey

Club Queretaro host Monterrey in the Liga MX, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Estadio La Corregidora. Club Queretaro sit 6th in the table and Monterrey are 9th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Club Queretaro have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W D L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Monterrey have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (L W W L L). Monterrey are averaging 2.2 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 1 win for Club Queretaro, 6 for Monterrey and 3 draws, averaging 2.2 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.30 to 0.53.

Queretaro at home has shown mixed defensive form, but Monterrey's away goals average of only 0.5 per game and recent loss to Atletico San Luis (1-3) suggest limited offensive threat. Under 3.5 is well-supported by Monterrey's poor recent form.