FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca

FC Juarez host CF Pachuca in the Liga MX, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026. FC Juarez sit 18th in the table and CF Pachuca are 15th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games FC Juarez have taken 5 defeats (L L L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 3.2 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games CF Pachuca have taken 2 draws and 3 defeats (L L L D D). CF Pachuca are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 3 wins for FC Juarez, 5 for CF Pachuca and 2 draws, averaging 3.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 80% at odds of 1.25. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.26 to 1.61.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (FC Juarez vs CF Pachuca) at 80% based on expected goals of 1.26-1.61.