Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo

Charlotte host Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer, kicking off on Sunday, 6 September 2026 at Bank of America Stadium. Charlotte sit 5th in the table and Houston Dynamo are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Charlotte have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (L W D W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Houston Dynamo have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W W W L D). Houston Dynamo are averaging 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game, keeping 10 clean sheets so far.

Their last 3 meetings have produced 2 wins for Charlotte, 1 for Houston Dynamo and 0 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 77% at odds of 1.3. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.37 to 1.09.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo) at 77% based on expected goals of 1.37-1.09.