CRB vs America Mineiro

CRB host America Mineiro in the Serie B, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Estádio Rei Pelé. CRB sit 6th in the table and America Mineiro are 19th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games CRB have taken 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (W D W L W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game this season, with 7 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games America Mineiro have taken 1 win and 4 defeats (L L L L W). America Mineiro are averaging 0.7 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for CRB, 6 for America Mineiro and 2 draws, averaging 2.1 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 84% at odds of 1.19. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.09 to 1.02.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (CRB vs America Mineiro) at 84% based on expected goals of 1.09-1.02.