NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord

NEC Nijmegen host Feyenoord in the Eredivisie, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Stadion de Goffert. NEC Nijmegen sit 7th in the table and Feyenoord are 3rd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 3 league games NEC Nijmegen have taken 2 wins and 1 defeat (L W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Feyenoord have taken 2 wins and 2 draws (W D W D). Feyenoord are averaging 2.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 1 win for NEC Nijmegen, 3 for Feyenoord and 5 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 79% at odds of 1.27. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.08 to 1.27.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (NEC Nijmegen vs Feyenoord) at 79% based on expected goals of 1.08-1.27.