Reims vs Guingamp

Reims host Guingamp in the Ligue 2, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Stade Auguste-Delaune. Reims sit 3rd in the table and Guingamp are 12th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 4 league games Reims have taken 2 wins and 2 draws (D D W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.5 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Guingamp have taken 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L W L D). Guingamp are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 6 wins for Reims, 3 for Guingamp and 1 draw, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.26 to 0.92.

Reims' strong xG (2.26) and second-place league position create significant home advantage. Guingamp's weak away output (0.25 goals per away game) and recent 3-3 draw further support home or draw outcome.