Preston vs Blackburn

Preston host Blackburn in the Championship, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Deepdale. Preston sit 24th in the table and Blackburn are 13th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 4 league games Preston have taken 4 defeats (L L L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 4 league games Blackburn have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 1 defeat (D W L D). Blackburn are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Preston, 5 for Blackburn and 3 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance X2 (Draw or Away) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.70 to 1.86.

Preston's catastrophic form (four straight losses, minimal home output) and Blackburn's attacking edge make away win or draw the clear base case. Preston's extended injury list and last-place position amplify defensive vulnerability.