Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig

Werder Bremen host RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Weserstadion. Werder Bremen sit 15th in the table and RB Leipzig are 4th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 1 league game Werder Bremen have taken 1 defeat (L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 1 league game RB Leipzig have taken 1 win (W). RB Leipzig are averaging 3.0 scored and 0.0 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 9 meetings have produced 0 wins for Werder Bremen, 5 for RB Leipzig and 4 draws, averaging 2.3 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 84% at odds of 1.19. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.25 to 1.94.

Leipzig's recent domination and Bremen's defensive struggles create conditions for multiple goals. The 0.84 probability reflects both teams' recent form and expected output.