Fulham vs Crystal Palace

Fulham host Crystal Palace in the Premier League, kicking off on Saturday, 5 September 2026 at Craven Cottage. Fulham sit 16th in the table and Crystal Palace are 18th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 2 league games Fulham have taken 2 defeats (L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game this season, with 0 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 2 league games Crystal Palace have taken 2 defeats (L L). Crystal Palace are averaging 0.5 scored and 3.0 conceded per game, keeping 0 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 2 wins for Fulham, 4 for Crystal Palace and 4 draws, averaging 2.4 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 89% at odds of 1.12. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.80 to 0.61.

Fulham are strong favourites at home with 89% probability for home win or draw. Despite recent poor form for both sides, Fulham's home advantage and Palace's toothless away attack (0.61 xG) make this the clear pick.