Fredrikstad vs Bodo/Glimt

Fredrikstad host Bodo/Glimt in the Eliteserien, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Fredrikstad Stadion. Fredrikstad sit 7th in the table and Bodo/Glimt are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Fredrikstad have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (L W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game this season, with 3 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Bodo/Glimt have taken 5 wins (W W W W W). Bodo/Glimt are averaging 2.6 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 10 clean sheets so far.

Their last 7 meetings have produced 0 wins for Fredrikstad, 6 for Bodo/Glimt and 1 draw, averaging 2.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.15 to 2.16.

Bodo/Glimt's winning form and high expected goals support the Over 1.5 pick with high confidence. Fredrikstad's recent heavy defeat (1-4) does not alter the goal expectancy model. Base model confidence is appropriate.