Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Al Shabab0-2
Al-Hilal Saudi FCHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Al Shabab host Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the Pro League, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Al-Shabab Club Stadium. Al Shabab sit 13th in the table and Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 5 league games Al Shabab have taken 3 draws and 2 defeats (L D D D L). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.
Over their last 4 league games Al-Hilal Saudi FC have taken 4 wins (W W W W). Al-Hilal Saudi FC are averaging 3.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.
Their last 9 meetings have produced 1 win for Al Shabab, 6 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC and 2 draws, averaging 3.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 2.5 Goals (Over 2.5) as the pick, rated 92% at odds of 1.09. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 0.96 to 5.23.
Statistical model favors Over 2.5 (Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC) at 92% based on expected goals of 0.96-5.23.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.599%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away98%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)98%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away96%
- Away Win · Away94%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.594%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)94%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.585%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes61%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No39%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.515%
- Correct Score · 0-57%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw6%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.56%
- Draw · Draw4%
- Home Win · Home2%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)2%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.51%
Last 10 meetings
- LAl Shabab3 - 527/02/2026Al-Hilal Saudi FCW
- WAl-Hilal Saudi FC1 - 031/10/2025Al ShababL
- DAl-Hilal Saudi FC2 - 221/04/2025Al ShababD
- LAl Shabab1 - 230/11/2024Al-Hilal Saudi FCW
- LAl Shabab3 - 430/03/2024Al-Hilal Saudi FCW
- WAl-Hilal Saudi FC2 - 029/09/2023Al ShababL
- WAl-Hilal Saudi FC3 - 109/08/2023Al ShababL
- WAl Shabab3 - 007/04/2023Al-Hilal Saudi FCL
- DAl-Hilal Saudi FC1 - 110/10/2022Al ShababD
Recent form
- Lv
Al-Hilal Saudi FC0 - 2 - D@
Al-Hazm1 - 1 - Dv
Al Riyadh3 - 3 - D@
Al Khaleej Saihat0 - 0 - Lv
Al-Qadisiyah FC1 - 3 - Wv
MC Alger3 - 1 - Wv
Al Ahli Doha3 - 0 - Wv
Al Nasr1 - 0 - L@
Al Najma0 - 1
- W@
Al Shabab2 - 0 - Wv
Al-Ahli Jeddah3 - 0 - W@Al Khaleej Saihat5 - 1
- W@
Al-Fayha3 - 0 - W@
Al-Raed2 - 0 - Wv
Al-Faisaly FC4 - 2 - DvAl Ahli Doha3 - 3
- LvMC Alger0 - 2
- Wv
Mamelodi Sundowns2 - 0 - W@
Sturm Graz II2 - 1
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Shabab | 1 | 1.8 | 13 |
| Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 3.75 | 0.75 | 1 |
Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +14 | 15 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +9 | 12 |
| 3 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 4 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |  Al Kholood | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 8 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Al Diriyah | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Al-Fayha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Al-Hazm | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -10 | 4 |
| 13 | Al Shabab | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | 3 |
| 14 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7 | 3 |
| 15 |  Al Taawon | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Al-Faisaly FC | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 18 |  Abha | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -7 | 1 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.