Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV
Lommel United0-1
Club Brugge KVHome / Draw / Away
Match analysis
Lommel United host Club Brugge KV in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off on Friday, 4 September 2026 at Soevereinstadion. Lommel United sit 8th in the table and Club Brugge KV are 2nd, so the visitors come in above their hosts.
Over their last 4 league games Lommel United have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (D L W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game this season, with 2 clean sheets on the board.
Over their last 5 league games Club Brugge KV have taken 4 wins and 1 defeat (W W W L W). Club Brugge KV are averaging 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded per game, keeping 4 clean sheets so far.
Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 0.5 Goals (HT) (Over 0.5 (HT)) as the pick, rated 86% at odds of 1.16. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 2.82 to 1.62.
Statistical model favors Over 0.5 (HT) (Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV) at 86% based on expected goals of 2.82-1.62.
Market probabilities
- Over 1.5 Goals · Over 1.594%
- Over 0.5 Goals (HT) · Over 0.5 (HT)86%
- Double Chance 12 · Home or Away82%
- Over 2.5 Goals · Over 2.582%
- Double Chance 1X · Home or Draw80%
- Draw No Bet (Home) · Home (DNB)76%
- Both Teams to Score · Yes76%
- Over 3.5 Goals · Over 3.565%
- Home Win · Home62%
- Double Chance X2 · Draw or Away38%
- Under 3.5 Goals · Under 3.535%
- Draw No Bet (Away) · Away (DNB)24%
- Both Teams to Score - No · No24%
- Away Win · Away20%
- Draw · Draw18%
- Under 2.5 Goals · Under 2.518%
- Correct Score · 2-18%
- Under 1.5 Goals · Under 1.56%
Last 10 meetings
No recent head-to-head meetings on record.
Recent form
- W@
Cercle Brugge1 - 0 - Wv
KVC Westerlo4 - 0 - Lv
Charleroi0 - 1 - D@
St. Truiden1 - 1 - Lv
ADO Den Haag0 - 4 - Wv
GO Ahead Eagles2 - 1 - L@
OH Leuven1 - 5 - D@Cercle Brugge1 - 1
- W@
Kryvbas KR4 - 2 - D@
Dender0 - 0
- L@
Gent1 - 2 - WvCercle Brugge1 - 0
- W@OH Leuven3 - 0
- Wv
Kortrijk3 - 0 - L@
Rennes1 - 2 - Lv
Heerenveen2 - 3 - L@
Feyenoord1 - 3 - WvKortrijk4 - 2
- WvGent5 - 0
Goals for & against
| Team | For | Against | Pos. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 1.5 | 0.5 | 8 |
| Club Brugge KV | 1.8 | 0.4 | 2 |
Jupiler Pro League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charleroi | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |  Club Brugge KV | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 | Gent | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 |  Union St. Gilloise | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 10 |
| 5 |  Zulte Waregem | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +5 | 8 |
| 6 |  Standard Liege | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 7 |  Genk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Lommel United | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 |  Antwerp | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Anderlecht | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 6 |
| 11 | St. Truiden | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 12 |  SK Beveren | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -8 | 3 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 2 |
| 14 |  KV Mechelen | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 2 |
| 15 |  RAAL La Louvière | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | 1 |
| 16 | KVC Westerlo | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -9 | 1 |
| 17 | OH Leuven | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -7 | 0 |
| 18 | Kortrijk | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 0 |
Predictions are statistical estimates, capped at 92% confidence, never guaranteed. 18+ · Gamble responsibly.