Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis

Monterrey host Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX, kicking off on Monday, 31 August 2026 at Estadio BBVA. Monterrey sit 9th in the table and Atletico San Luis are 13th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Monterrey have taken 2 wins and 3 defeats (L W W L L). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Atletico San Luis have taken 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat (D D L D W). Atletico San Luis are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 4 wins for Monterrey, 4 for Atletico San Luis and 2 draws, averaging 2.7 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Over 1.5 Goals (Over 1.5) as the pick, rated 88% at odds of 1.14. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.90 to 1.64.

Statistical model favors Over 1.5 (Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis) at 88% based on expected goals of 1.90-1.64.