Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL

Santos Laguna host Tigres UANL in the Liga MX, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Estadio TSM Corona. Santos Laguna sit 17th in the table and Tigres UANL are 16th, so the visitors come in above their hosts.

Over their last 5 league games Santos Laguna have taken 1 draw and 4 defeats (L L L L D). At home and away combined they are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game this season, with 1 clean sheet on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Tigres UANL have taken 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats (D L L W D). Tigres UANL are averaging 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game, keeping 2 clean sheets so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 0 wins for Santos Laguna, 8 for Tigres UANL and 2 draws, averaging 2.8 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Under 3.5 Goals (Under 3.5) as the pick, rated 87% at odds of 1.15. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.23 to 0.68.

Statistical model favors Under 3.5 (Santos Laguna vs Tigres UANL) at 87% based on expected goals of 1.23-0.68.