Club America vs Puebla

Club America host Puebla in the Liga MX, kicking off on Sunday, 30 August 2026 at Estadio Banorte. Club America sit 1st in the table and Puebla are 8th, so the hosts start as the higher-ranked side.

Over their last 5 league games Club America have taken 4 wins and 1 draw (D W W W W). At home and away combined they are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game this season, with 4 clean sheets on the board.

Over their last 5 league games Puebla have taken 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats (L D W W L). Puebla are averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded per game, keeping 1 clean sheet so far.

Their last 10 meetings have produced 8 wins for Club America, 1 for Puebla and 1 draw, averaging 3.6 goals a game. That recent history is one of the inputs behind the rating below.

Weighing recent scoring rates, home and away splits and the head-to-head record through a Poisson model with a Dixon-Coles low-score adjustment, our engine lands on Double Chance 1X (Home or Draw) as the pick, rated 85% at odds of 1.18. The model's expected-goals line for this fixture is 1.81 to 0.80.

Club America's dominance at home with 1.2 xG and only 0.4 goals conceded, combined with league-leading position, makes a home win or draw highly probable against a struggling away side.